Round 9 · simulation 47 · mcts-m2.m2-ken-mcts-index

Round 2035

Round 9 of 20 in simulation 47 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 4 actions, and the index +0.057 to 7.61.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2035 (the end of 2034) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.61 (+0.057)
In: 7.55
Rank by index
72
In: 72
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
0
In: 1
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.653.77+0.1209
Strategic Infrastructure7.887.89+0.0047
National Security4.664.66+0.0089
Human Capital8.768.80+0.0358
Information & Influence8.929.04+0.1187
Governance & Integrity8.898.890.00014
Financial Strength8.588.59+0.00617
Production & Innovation7.957.96+0.01214
Trade & Investment8.658.86+0.20612

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2035: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 146, plus 1 carried in. Maintenance 118. Spent 29 on actions (buy 7, partner 22). 0 carried over.

  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection7 credits for 0.77 levelsmctsahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing7 credits for 0.75 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation7 credits for 0.92 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication7 credits for 0.79 levelsmcts_fill
The groups that moved most in 2035, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.99+0.990.000.000.00
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.80+0.800.000.000.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.66+0.650.000.000.00
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.55+0.540.000.000.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.31+0.310.000.000.00
Artificial Intelligence+0.180.000.000.00+0.18