Round 10 · simulation 47 · mcts-m2.m2-ken-mcts-index

Round 2036

Round 10 of 20 in simulation 47 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.061 to 7.67.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2036 (the end of 2035) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.67 (+0.061)
In: 7.61
Rank by index
72
In: 72
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
0
In: 0
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.773.96+0.1809 → 8
Strategic Infrastructure7.897.89+0.0057
National Security4.664.67+0.0029
Human Capital8.808.81+0.0188
Information & Influence9.049.13+0.0877
Governance & Integrity8.898.890.00014
Financial Strength8.598.59+0.00917
Production & Innovation7.968.03+0.06014
Trade & Investment8.869.04+0.18412 → 11

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2036: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 147. Maintenance 119. Spent 28 on actions (buy 20, partner 7). 0 carried over.

  • BuySpace Technologies7 credits for 0.60 levelsmcts
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing7 credits for 0.72 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access7 credits for 0.89 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing3 credits for 0.35 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion3 credits for 0.33 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 9 to 8; Trade & Investment Tier 12 to 11.

The groups that moved most in 2036, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.72+0.720.000.000.00
Space Technologies+0.60+0.600.000.000.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.47+0.460.000.000.00
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.45+0.450.000.000.00
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.40+0.400.000.000.00
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.39+0.390.000.000.00