Round 11 · simulation 47 · mcts-m2.m2-ken-mcts-index

Round 2037

Round 11 of 20 in simulation 47 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.043 to 7.71.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2037 (the end of 2036) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.71 (+0.042)
In: 7.67
Rank by index
72
In: 72
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
0
In: 0
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.964.19+0.2328
Strategic Infrastructure7.897.90+0.0097
National Security4.674.67+0.0109 → 6
Human Capital8.818.81+0.0018
Information & Influence9.139.16+0.0347
Governance & Integrity8.898.890.00014
Financial Strength8.598.60+0.00517
Production & Innovation8.038.04+0.01214
Trade & Investment9.049.12+0.08011

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2037: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 148. Maintenance 121. Spent 27 on actions (build 7, buy 19). 0 carried over.

  • BuildNuclear Deterrence7 credits for 0.15 levelsmctsahead of Research Talent & Knowledge Creation by -1 per cent
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence7 credits for 0.87 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies7 credits for 0.87 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing3 credits for 0.35 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance2 credits for 0.16 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. National Security Tier 9 to 6.

The groups that moved most in 2037, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Artificial Intelligence+1.07+0.870.000.00+0.21
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+0.87+0.870.000.000.00
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.45+0.450.000.000.00
Advanced Materials & Manufacturing+0.35+0.350.000.000.00
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+0.17+0.160.000.000.00
Economic Leverage & Dependence+0.090.000.000.00+0.09