Round 2038
Round 12 of 20 in simulation 47 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 4 actions, and the index +0.030 to 7.74.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2038 (the end of 2037) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 7.74 (+0.031)
- In: 7.71
- Rank by index
- 71
- In: 72
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 1
- In: 0
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 4.19 | 4.38 | +0.198 | 8 → 7 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 7.90 | 7.91 | +0.010 | 7 |
| National Security | 4.67 | 4.69 | +0.011 | 6 |
| Human Capital | 8.81 | 8.82 | +0.001 | 8 |
| Information & Influence | 9.16 | 9.17 | +0.005 | 7 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.89 | 8.89 | 0.000 | 14 |
| Financial Strength | 8.60 | 8.62 | +0.020 | 17 |
| Production & Innovation | 8.04 | 8.05 | +0.011 | 14 |
| Trade & Investment | 9.12 | 9.14 | +0.016 | 11 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2038: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 148. Maintenance 123. Spent 24 on actions (build 7, buy 16). 1 carried over.
- BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance7 credits for 0.31 levelsmctsahead of Advanced Materials & Manufacturing by 0 per cent
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing7 credits for 0.70 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing7 credits for 0.86 levelsmcts_fill
- BuySensing, Timing & Navigation2 credits for 0.18 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 8 to 7.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Advanced Materials & Manufacturing | +0.86 | +0.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +0.70 | +0.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Sensing, Timing & Navigation | +0.21 | +0.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 |
| Artificial Intelligence | +0.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.19 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | +0.10 | +0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | +0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 |