Round 2039
Round 13 of 20 in simulation 47 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 4 actions, Legitimacy rupture, and the index −0.422 to 7.32.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2039 (the end of 2038) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 7.32 (−0.423)
- In: 7.74
- Rank by index
- 77
- In: 71
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 0
- In: 1
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 4.38 | 4.14 | −0.247 | 7 → 8 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 7.91 | 7.63 | −0.288 | 7 → 8 |
| National Security | 4.69 | 4.02 | −0.668 | 6 → 9 |
| Human Capital | 8.82 | 8.63 | −0.188 | 8 |
| Information & Influence | 9.17 | 8.60 | −0.569 | 7 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.89 | 8.39 | −0.505 | 14 → 16 |
| Financial Strength | 8.62 | 7.83 | −0.784 | 17 → 19 |
| Production & Innovation | 8.05 | 7.89 | −0.157 | 14 |
| Trade & Investment | 9.14 | 8.75 | −0.391 | 11 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2039: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 149, plus 1 carried in. Maintenance 125. Spent 25 on actions (buy 25). 0 carried over.
- BuySensing, Timing & Navigation7 credits for 0.90 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Quantum Technologies by 0 per cent
- BuyEconomic Output & Productivity7 credits for 0.55 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 1 per cent
- BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance7 credits for 0.80 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Technology Adoption & Diffusion by 0 per cent
- BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion3 credits for 0.32 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Advanced Materials & Manufacturing by 1 per cent
- Shock: Legitimacy rupture S05. −33.4 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 7 to 8; Strategic Infrastructure Tier 7 to 8; National Security Tier 6 to 9; Governance & Integrity Tier 14 to 16; Financial Strength Tier 17 to 19.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Force Generation & Mobilisation | −1.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.25 | 0.00 |
| Monetary & Currency Capability | −1.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.18 | 0.00 |
| Information Environment & Strategic Communication | −1.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.19 | +0.02 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | −1.09 | +0.10 | 0.00 | −1.20 | 0.00 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | −0.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.71 | 0.00 |
| Maritime Power | −0.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.67 | 0.00 |