Round 14 · simulation 47 · mcts-m2.m2-ken-mcts-index

Round 2040

Round 14 of 20 in simulation 47 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 4 actions, and the index +0.029 to 7.35.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2040 (the end of 2039) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.35 (+0.030)
In: 7.32
Rank by index
76
In: 77
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
1
In: 0
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology4.144.22+0.0878 → 7
Strategic Infrastructure7.637.64+0.0158
National Security4.024.03+0.0169
Human Capital8.638.63+0.0028
Information & Influence8.608.67+0.0747
Governance & Integrity8.398.38−0.00316
Financial Strength7.837.88+0.04419
Production & Innovation7.897.90+0.00714
Trade & Investment8.758.77+0.02211

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2040: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 139. Maintenance 114. Spent 25 on actions (buy 7, partner 18). 1 carried over.

  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance7 credits for 0.44 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Space Technologies by 0 per cent
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation7 credits for 0.92 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 0 per cent
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing7 credits for 0.69 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 0 per cent
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection3 credits for 0.32 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Advanced Materials & Manufacturing by 1 per cent

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 8 to 7.

The groups that moved most in 2040, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.69+0.690.000.000.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.46+0.460.000.000.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.35+0.320.000.00+0.02
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.14+0.160.000.00−0.01
Artificial Intelligence+0.140.000.000.00+0.14
Advanced Manufacturing+0.100.000.000.00+0.10