Round 2034
Round 8 of 20 in simulation 29 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.060 to 7.58.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2034 (the end of 2033) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 7.58 (+0.060)
- In: 7.52
- Rank by index
- 72
- In: 73
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 3
- In: 1
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 3.51 | 3.69 | +0.179 | 10 → 9 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 7.90 | 7.91 | +0.008 | 7 |
| National Security | 4.63 | 4.64 | +0.008 | 9 |
| Human Capital | 8.61 | 8.70 | +0.090 | 10 → 8 |
| Information & Influence | 8.90 | 8.91 | +0.006 | 7 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.90 | 8.90 | +0.001 | 14 |
| Financial Strength | 8.71 | 8.76 | +0.055 | 17 |
| Production & Innovation | 7.92 | 7.93 | +0.013 | 14 |
| Trade & Investment | 8.58 | 8.76 | +0.178 | 12 → 11 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2034: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 152, plus 1 carried in. Maintenance 117. Spent 33 on actions (build 7, buy 15, partner 10). 3 carried over.
- BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance7 credits for 0.30 levelsmctsahead of Artificial Intelligence by 0 per cent
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing7 credits for 0.77 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyArtificial Intelligence7 credits for 0.93 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication7 credits for 0.82 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection3 credits for 0.32 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 10 to 9; Human Capital Tier 10 to 8; Trade & Investment Tier 12 to 11.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence | +0.97 | +0.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.04 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.83 | +0.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +0.77 | +0.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +0.48 | +0.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | +0.29 | +0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.19 | +0.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |