Round 9 · simulation 29 · mcts-m2.m2-ken-mcts-score-sum

Round 2035

Round 9 of 20 in simulation 29 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.067 to 7.64.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2035 (the end of 2034) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.64 (+0.067)
In: 7.58
Rank by index
72
In: 72
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
0
In: 3
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.693.82+0.1339
Strategic Infrastructure7.917.91+0.0087
National Security4.644.65+0.0109
Human Capital8.708.74+0.0388
Information & Influence8.919.01+0.0957
Governance & Integrity8.908.90+0.00214
Financial Strength8.768.80+0.03217
Production & Innovation7.938.07+0.13314
Trade & Investment8.768.91+0.15311

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2035: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 154, plus 3 carried in. Maintenance 119. Spent 38 on actions (buy 15, partner 23). 0 carried over.

  • PartnerSemiconductors & Advanced Computing8 credits for 0.49 levelsmctsahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies8 credits for 0.94 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation8 credits for 0.98 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion8 credits for 0.86 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection8 credits for 0.81 levelsmcts_fill
The groups that moved most in 2035, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+0.94+0.940.000.000.00
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+0.88+0.860.000.00+0.02
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.57+0.570.000.000.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.49+0.490.000.000.00
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.41+0.410.000.000.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.32+0.320.000.000.00