Round 10 · simulation 29 · mcts-m2.m2-ken-mcts-score-sum

Round 2036

Round 10 of 20 in simulation 29 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.070 to 7.71.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2036 (the end of 2035) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.71 (+0.069)
In: 7.64
Rank by index
72
In: 72
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
2
In: 0
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.824.04+0.2139 → 8
Strategic Infrastructure7.917.93+0.0137
National Security4.654.66+0.0109
Human Capital8.748.82+0.0868
Information & Influence9.019.18+0.1697
Governance & Integrity8.908.90+0.00114
Financial Strength8.808.82+0.02517
Production & Innovation8.078.08+0.01114
Trade & Investment8.919.01+0.09811

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2036: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 156. Maintenance 121. Spent 34 on actions (buy 23, partner 11). 2 carried over.

  • BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing8 credits for 0.92 levelsmctsahead of Sensing, Timing & Navigation by 0 per cent
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing8 credits for 0.77 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation8 credits for 0.60 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation8 credits for 0.96 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access3 credits for 0.38 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 9 to 8.

The groups that moved most in 2036, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+1.01+1.010.000.000.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.97+0.970.000.000.00
Advanced Materials & Manufacturing+0.92+0.920.000.000.00
Research Talent & Knowledge Creation+0.60+0.600.000.000.00
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.40+0.400.000.000.00
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.19+0.190.000.000.00