Round 7 · simulation 32 · mcts-m2.m2-ken-mcts-tier-rank

Round 2033

Round 7 of 20 in simulation 32 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.049 to 6.73.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2033 (the end of 2032) and as it left it.

Capability index
6.73 (+0.049)
In: 6.68
Rank by index
86
In: 88
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
1
In: 3
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology2.812.97+0.15811
Strategic Infrastructure6.906.86−0.0408
National Security3.583.58−0.00110
Human Capital8.258.34+0.08912 → 11
Information & Influence8.238.37+0.1419
Governance & Integrity8.378.36−0.00715
Financial Strength7.657.71+0.06320
Production & Innovation7.027.01−0.01216
Trade & Investment7.357.40+0.05213

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2033: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 126, plus 3 carried in. Maintenance 96. Spent 31 on actions (buy 12, partner 19). 1 carried over.

  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection6 credits for 0.71 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance6 credits for 0.38 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies6 credits for 0.82 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation6 credits for 0.86 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence6 credits for 0.83 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Human Capital Tier 12 to 11.

The groups that moved most in 2033, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.85+0.870.000.00−0.02
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+0.82+0.820.000.000.00
Artificial Intelligence+0.79+0.830.000.00−0.04
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.50+0.500.000.000.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.37+0.380.000.00−0.01
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.35+0.350.000.00−0.01