Round 2034
Round 8 of 20 in simulation 32 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.046 to 6.78.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2034 (the end of 2033) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 6.78 (+0.046)
- In: 6.73
- Rank by index
- 85
- In: 86
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 2
- In: 1
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 2.97 | 3.04 | +0.066 | 11 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 6.86 | 6.83 | −0.036 | 8 |
| National Security | 3.58 | 3.58 | −0.001 | 10 |
| Human Capital | 8.34 | 8.37 | +0.030 | 11 |
| Information & Influence | 8.37 | 8.44 | +0.067 | 9 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.36 | 8.36 | −0.006 | 15 |
| Financial Strength | 7.71 | 7.74 | +0.033 | 20 |
| Production & Innovation | 7.01 | 7.13 | +0.120 | 16 → 15 |
| Trade & Investment | 7.40 | 7.54 | +0.141 | 13 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2034: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 129, plus 1 carried in. Maintenance 97. Spent 32 on actions (build 6, buy 13, partner 13). 2 carried over.
- BuildEconomic Output & Productivity6 credits for 0.39 levelsmctsahead of Nuclear Deterrence by -1 per cent
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing6 credits for 0.69 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication6 credits for 0.74 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion6 credits for 0.75 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence6 credits for 0.80 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Production & Innovation Tier 16 to 15.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Technology Adoption & Diffusion | +0.75 | +0.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +0.69 | +0.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.41 | +0.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.02 |
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | +0.38 | +0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.02 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.36 | +0.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +0.35 | +0.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |