Round 17 · simulation 32 · mcts-m2.m2-ken-mcts-tier-rank

Round 2043

Round 17 of 20 in simulation 32 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.056 to 7.24.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2043 (the end of 2042) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.24 (+0.056)
In: 7.18
Rank by index
78
In: 79
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
3
In: 1
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology4.624.87+0.2487
Strategic Infrastructure6.866.87+0.0118
National Security3.693.70+0.0156
Human Capital8.448.44+0.00111
Information & Influence8.939.01+0.0777
Governance & Integrity8.338.330.00016
Financial Strength7.857.85+0.00620
Production & Innovation7.547.57+0.02614
Trade & Investment8.378.49+0.11711

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2043: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 145, plus 1 carried in. Maintenance 111. Spent 32 on actions (build 7, buy 17, partner 7). 3 carried over.

  • BuildNuclear Deterrence7 credits for 0.14 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by -1 per cent
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies7 credits for 0.80 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerSpace Technologies7 credits for 0.64 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyEnergy Technologies7 credits for 0.82 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing3 credits for 0.32 levelsmcts_fill
The groups that moved most in 2043, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Energy Technologies+0.82+0.820.000.00+0.01
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+0.81+0.800.000.000.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.43+0.430.000.00+0.01
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.39+0.390.000.000.00
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.38+0.370.000.00+0.01
Advanced Materials & Manufacturing+0.32+0.320.000.000.00