Round 18 · simulation 32 · mcts-m2.m2-ken-mcts-tier-rank

Round 2044

Round 18 of 20 in simulation 32 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.041 to 7.28.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2044 (the end of 2043) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.28 (+0.041)
In: 7.24
Rank by index
77
In: 78
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
4
In: 3
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology4.875.12+0.2547
Strategic Infrastructure6.876.88+0.0138
National Security3.703.72+0.0186
Human Capital8.448.44+0.00111
Information & Influence9.019.01+0.0067
Governance & Integrity8.338.330.00016
Financial Strength7.857.86+0.00720
Production & Innovation7.577.57+0.00714
Trade & Investment8.498.55+0.06011

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2044: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 147, plus 3 carried in. Maintenance 113. Spent 32 on actions (buy 17, partner 15). 4 carried over.

  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing7 credits for 0.63 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Nuclear Deterrence by -1 per cent
  • PartnerSpace Technologies7 credits for 0.64 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Trade Facilitation & Logistics by 1 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics7 credits for 0.80 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Sensing, Timing & Navigation by 0 per cent
  • BuySensing, Timing & Navigation7 credits for 0.82 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Robotics & Autonomous Systems by 0 per cent
  • BuyRobotics & Autonomous Systems3 credits for 0.33 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Technology Adoption & Diffusion by 0 per cent
The groups that moved most in 2044, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Sensing, Timing & Navigation+0.82+0.820.000.000.00
Space Technologies+0.64+0.640.000.000.00
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.63+0.630.000.000.00
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+0.40+0.400.000.000.00
Robotics & Autonomous Systems+0.34+0.330.000.00+0.01
Artificial Intelligence+0.070.000.000.00+0.07