Round 19 · simulation 32 · mcts-m2.m2-ken-mcts-tier-rank

Round 2045

Round 19 of 20 in simulation 32 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.052 to 7.33.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2045 (the end of 2044) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.33 (+0.052)
In: 7.28
Rank by index
76
In: 77
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
4
In: 4
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology5.125.27+0.1507
Strategic Infrastructure6.886.90+0.0118
National Security3.723.74+0.0196
Human Capital8.448.44+0.00111
Information & Influence9.019.02+0.0067
Governance & Integrity8.338.33+0.00116
Financial Strength7.867.86+0.00220
Production & Innovation7.577.76+0.19214 → 11
Trade & Investment8.558.63+0.08611

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2045: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 147, plus 4 carried in. Maintenance 115. Spent 32 on actions (buy 22, partner 10). 4 carried over.

  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity7 credits for 0.53 levelsmcts
  • PartnerSpace Technologies7 credits for 0.64 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing7 credits for 0.79 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion7 credits for 0.79 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence3 credits for 0.34 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Production & Innovation Tier 14 to 11.

The groups that moved most in 2045, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+0.79+0.790.000.00+0.01
Advanced Materials & Manufacturing+0.79+0.790.000.00+0.01
Space Technologies+0.64+0.640.000.000.00
Economic Output & Productivity+0.53+0.530.000.000.00
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+0.40+0.400.000.000.00
Economic Leverage & Dependence+0.17+0.170.000.00+0.01