Round 2036
Round 10 of 20 in simulation 40 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.037 to 6.23.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2036 (the end of 2035) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 6.23 (+0.037)
- In: 6.19
- Rank by index
- 94
- In: 94
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 11
- In: 15
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 3.12 | 3.14 | +0.026 | 10 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 5.86 | 5.87 | +0.015 | 9 |
| National Security | 3.17 | 3.19 | +0.011 | 10 |
| Human Capital | 7.63 | 7.64 | +0.012 | 11 |
| Information & Influence | 8.05 | 8.12 | +0.072 | 9 |
| Governance & Integrity | 7.86 | 7.85 | −0.008 | 16 |
| Financial Strength | 6.84 | 6.83 | −0.006 | 22 |
| Production & Innovation | 6.43 | 6.43 | −0.003 | 16 |
| Trade & Investment | 6.76 | 6.98 | +0.218 | 14 → 13 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2036: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 117, plus 15 carried in. Maintenance 87. Spent 34 on actions (build 7, partner 27). 11 carried over.
- BuildNuclear Deterrence7 credits for 0.13 levelsmcts
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance7 credits for 0.43 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication7 credits for 0.81 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access7 credits for 0.90 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection7 credits for 0.78 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 14 to 13.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.45 | +0.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.45 | +0.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | +0.42 | +0.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.37 | +0.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.03 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +0.36 | +0.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.03 |
| Artificial Intelligence | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.15 |