Round 2037
Round 11 of 20 in simulation 40 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.039 to 6.27.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2037 (the end of 2036) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 6.27 (+0.039)
- In: 6.23
- Rank by index
- 93
- In: 94
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 11
- In: 10
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 3.14 | 3.23 | +0.084 | 10 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 5.87 | 5.85 | −0.018 | 9 |
| National Security | 3.19 | 3.19 | +0.004 | 10 |
| Human Capital | 7.64 | 7.63 | −0.008 | 11 |
| Information & Influence | 8.12 | 8.11 | −0.008 | 9 |
| Governance & Integrity | 7.85 | 7.84 | −0.007 | 16 |
| Financial Strength | 6.83 | 6.88 | +0.051 | 22 |
| Production & Innovation | 6.43 | 6.43 | −0.005 | 16 |
| Trade & Investment | 6.98 | 7.24 | +0.258 | 13 → 12 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2037: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 118, plus 10 carried in. Maintenance 88. Spent 29 on actions (buy 6, partner 23). 11 carried over.
- PartnerEconomic Output & Productivity6 credits for 0.43 levelsmcts
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance6 credits for 0.36 levelsmcts_fill
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing6 credits for 0.61 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics6 credits for 0.70 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication6 credits for 0.69 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 13 to 12.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.65 | +0.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.10 |
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +0.61 | +0.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.46 | +0.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +0.38 | +0.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | +0.36 | +0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.04 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | +0.29 | +0.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.06 |