Round 2038
Round 12 of 20 in simulation 40 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.048 to 6.31.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2038 (the end of 2037) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 6.31 (+0.048)
- In: 6.27
- Rank by index
- 93
- In: 93
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 14
- In: 11
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 3.23 | 3.30 | +0.076 | 10 → 9 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 5.85 | 5.83 | −0.020 | 9 |
| National Security | 3.19 | 3.22 | +0.026 | 10 |
| Human Capital | 7.63 | 7.62 | −0.012 | 11 |
| Information & Influence | 8.11 | 8.23 | +0.117 | 9 → 8 |
| Governance & Integrity | 7.84 | 7.84 | −0.005 | 16 |
| Financial Strength | 6.88 | 6.95 | +0.066 | 22 |
| Production & Innovation | 6.43 | 6.52 | +0.092 | 16 → 15 |
| Trade & Investment | 7.24 | 7.33 | +0.091 | 12 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2038: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 122, plus 11 carried in. Maintenance 89. Spent 30 on actions (buy 24, partner 6). 14 carried over.
- BuyStrategic Strike & Missile Defence6 credits for 0.53 levelsmcts
- BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance6 credits for 0.70 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyEconomic Output & Productivity6 credits for 0.47 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyArtificial Intelligence6 credits for 0.74 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance6 credits for 0.36 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 10 to 9; Information & Influence Tier 9 to 8; Production & Innovation Tier 16 to 15.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence | +0.79 | +0.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 |
| Development Cooperation & Global Assistance | +0.71 | +0.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +0.68 | +0.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | +0.39 | +0.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.31 | +0.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.03 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | +0.30 | +0.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.05 |