Round 13 · simulation 40 · mcts-m2.m2-ken-mcts-tier1

Round 2039

Round 13 of 20 in simulation 40 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.036 to 6.35.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2039 (the end of 2038) and as it left it.

Capability index
6.35 (+0.036)
In: 6.31
Rank by index
91
In: 93
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
21
In: 14
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.303.44+0.1449
Strategic Infrastructure5.835.81−0.0219
National Security3.223.27+0.05310
Human Capital7.627.60−0.01611
Information & Influence8.238.29+0.0668 → 7
Governance & Integrity7.847.83−0.00516
Financial Strength6.957.00+0.05222
Production & Innovation6.526.520.00015
Trade & Investment7.337.38+0.05012

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2039: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 128, plus 14 carried in. Maintenance 90. Spent 31 on actions (buy 18, partner 12). 21 carried over.

  • BuySpace Operations6 credits for 0.55 levelsmcts
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing6 credits for 0.62 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation6 credits for 0.80 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies6 credits for 0.75 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection6 credits for 0.68 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 8 to 7.

The groups that moved most in 2039, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+0.74+0.750.000.000.00
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.61+0.620.000.00−0.01
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.39+0.400.000.00−0.01
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.36+0.340.000.00+0.02
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.29+0.180.000.00+0.12
Space Operations+0.28+0.280.000.00+0.01