Round 2040
Round 14 of 20 in simulation 40 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.050 to 6.40.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2040 (the end of 2039) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 6.40 (+0.050)
- In: 6.35
- Rank by index
- 91
- In: 91
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 28
- In: 20
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 3.44 | 3.59 | +0.142 | 9 → 8 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 5.81 | 5.79 | −0.020 | 9 |
| National Security | 3.27 | 3.29 | +0.022 | 10 |
| Human Capital | 7.60 | 7.59 | −0.016 | 11 |
| Information & Influence | 8.29 | 8.37 | +0.073 | 7 |
| Governance & Integrity | 7.83 | 7.83 | −0.004 | 16 |
| Financial Strength | 7.00 | 7.00 | +0.003 | 22 |
| Production & Innovation | 6.52 | 6.62 | +0.102 | 15 → 14 |
| Trade & Investment | 7.38 | 7.53 | +0.151 | 12 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2040: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 131, plus 20 carried in. Maintenance 91. Spent 32 on actions (buy 19, partner 13). 28 carried over.
- BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing6 credits for 0.77 levelsmcts
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing6 credits for 0.63 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics6 credits for 0.75 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion6 credits for 0.74 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access6 credits for 0.80 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 9 to 8; Production & Innovation Tier 15 to 14.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Advanced Materials & Manufacturing | +0.77 | +0.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Technology Adoption & Diffusion | +0.74 | +0.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +0.63 | +0.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.40 | +0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.39 | +0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +0.34 | +0.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |