Round 16 · simulation 40 · mcts-m2.m2-ken-mcts-tier1

Round 2042

Round 16 of 20 in simulation 40 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.109 to 6.61.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2042 (the end of 2041) and as it left it.

Capability index
6.61 (+0.110)
In: 6.50
Rank by index
90
In: 90
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
43
In: 31
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.874.11+0.2327
Strategic Infrastructure5.885.96+0.0859
National Security3.303.30+0.00610
Human Capital7.647.75+0.11011
Information & Influence8.438.61+0.1837
Governance & Integrity7.928.00+0.08616
Financial Strength7.067.12+0.05922
Production & Innovation6.676.79+0.12214
Trade & Investment7.737.83+0.09911

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2042: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 141, plus 31 carried in. Maintenance 96. Spent 33 on actions (buy 33). 43 carried over.

  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity7 credits for 0.51 levelsmcts
  • BuySensing, Timing & Navigation7 credits for 0.81 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyEnergy Technologies7 credits for 0.78 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance7 credits for 0.74 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation7 credits for 0.53 levelsmcts_fill

Earlier events still landing: +3.7 points this round.

The groups that moved most in 2042, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Sensing, Timing & Navigation+0.87+0.810.00+0.060.00
Energy Technologies+0.83+0.780.00+0.06−0.01
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+0.80+0.740.00+0.060.00
Economic Output & Productivity+0.69+0.630.00+0.03+0.02
Research Talent & Knowledge Creation+0.58+0.530.00+0.06−0.01
Economic Leverage & Dependence+0.49+0.400.00+0.03+0.06