Round 2043
Round 17 of 20 in simulation 40 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Breadbasket failure, and the index −0.881 to 5.73.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2043 (the end of 2042) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 5.73 (−0.881)
- In: 6.61
- Rank by index
- 105
- In: 90
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 52
- In: 41
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 4.11 | 3.75 | −0.352 | 7 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 5.96 | 4.83 | −1.127 | 9 → 10 |
| National Security | 3.30 | 2.77 | −0.530 | 10 → 11 |
| Human Capital | 7.75 | 7.06 | −0.687 | 11 |
| Information & Influence | 8.61 | 7.54 | −1.068 | 7 → 8 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.00 | 7.43 | −0.574 | 16 |
| Financial Strength | 7.12 | 5.81 | −1.304 | 22 → 25 |
| Production & Innovation | 6.79 | 5.83 | −0.955 | 14 → 16 |
| Trade & Investment | 7.83 | 6.50 | −1.327 | 11 → 13 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2043: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 145, plus 41 carried in. Maintenance 98. Spent 35 on actions (buy 28, partner 7). 52 carried over.
- BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation7 credits for 0.55 levelsmcts
- BuySensing, Timing & Navigation7 credits for 0.85 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing7 credits for 0.80 levelsmcts_fill
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing7 credits for 0.64 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation7 credits for 0.86 levelsmcts_fill
- Shock: Breadbasket failure S06. −69.0 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 9 to 10; National Security Tier 10 to 11; Information & Influence Tier 7 to 8; Financial Strength Tier 22 to 25; Production & Innovation Tier 14 to 16; Trade & Investment Tier 11 to 13.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | −2.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −2.34 | −0.01 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | −1.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −2.10 | +0.12 |
| Monetary & Currency Capability | −1.94 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.95 | +0.01 |
| Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks | −1.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.88 | +0.02 |
| Energy Infrastructure | −1.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.82 | +0.01 |
| Water, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure | −1.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.82 | +0.01 |