Round 2044
Round 18 of 20 in simulation 40 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.029 to 5.75.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2044 (the end of 2043) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 5.75 (+0.029)
- In: 5.73
- Rank by index
- 104
- In: 105
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 46
- In: 50
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 3.75 | 3.76 | +0.007 | 7 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 4.83 | 4.85 | +0.013 | 10 |
| National Security | 2.77 | 2.78 | +0.008 | 11 |
| Human Capital | 7.06 | 7.06 | −0.001 | 11 |
| Information & Influence | 7.54 | 7.61 | +0.071 | 8 |
| Governance & Integrity | 7.43 | 7.42 | −0.008 | 16 |
| Financial Strength | 5.81 | 5.80 | −0.012 | 25 |
| Production & Innovation | 5.83 | 5.86 | +0.027 | 16 |
| Trade & Investment | 6.50 | 6.66 | +0.158 | 13 → 12 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2044: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 114, plus 50 carried in. Maintenance 81. Spent 36 on actions (partner 36). 46 carried over.
- PartnerEconomic Output & Productivity7 credits for 0.51 levelsmcts
- PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics7 credits for 0.92 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance7 credits for 0.48 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication7 credits for 0.86 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access7 credits for 0.92 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 13 to 12.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | +0.46 | +0.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.44 | +0.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.02 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.43 | +0.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.39 | +0.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.04 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +0.26 | +0.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | +0.11 | +0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.13 |