Round 2031
Round 5 of 20 in simulation 4 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.040 to 11.83.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2031 (the end of 2030) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 11.83 (+0.040)
- In: 11.79
- Rank by index
- 30
- In: 30
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 257
- In: 227
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 8.86 | 8.77 | −0.087 | 6 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.82 | 13.84 | +0.022 | 3 |
| National Security | 9.42 | 9.42 | +0.005 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 12.86 | 13.31 | +0.455 | 4 → 3 |
| Information & Influence | 11.88 | 11.88 | +0.007 | 5 |
| Governance & Integrity | 12.09 | 12.07 | −0.024 | 9 |
| Financial Strength | 13.33 | 13.29 | −0.035 | 9 |
| Production & Innovation | 11.79 | 11.90 | +0.101 | 8 → 6 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.09 | 12.01 | −0.086 | 7 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2031: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 409, plus 227 carried in. Maintenance 311. Spent 67 on actions (build 27, buy 27, partner 13). 257 carried over.
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance13 credits for 0.49 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
- BuildDigital & AI Competence13 credits for 1.10 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion13 credits for 1.29 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills13 credits for 1.11 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation13 credits for 0.74 levelsmcts_fill
Earlier events still landing: −4.2 points this round.
Tiers. Human Capital Tier 4 to 3; Production & Innovation Tier 8 to 6.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Technology Adoption & Diffusion | +1.23 | +1.29 | 0.00 | −0.07 | 0.00 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +1.23 | +1.20 | 0.00 | +0.02 | 0.00 |
| Digital & AI Competence | +1.09 | +1.19 | 0.00 | −0.10 | 0.00 |
| Lifelong Learning & Reskilling | +0.95 | +1.05 | 0.00 | −0.10 | 0.00 |
| Research Talent & Knowledge Creation | +0.71 | +0.74 | 0.00 | −0.03 | 0.00 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.64 | +0.73 | 0.00 | −0.10 | 0.00 |