Round 2032
Round 6 of 20 in simulation 4 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Chronic disease advance, and the index +0.081 to 11.91.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2032 (the end of 2031) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 11.91 (+0.080)
- In: 11.83
- Rank by index
- 30
- In: 30
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 281
- In: 244
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 8.77 | 9.00 | +0.230 | 6 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.84 | 13.90 | +0.061 | 3 |
| National Security | 9.42 | 9.43 | +0.006 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 13.31 | 13.68 | +0.373 | 3 → 2 |
| Information & Influence | 11.88 | 11.99 | +0.101 | 5 → 6 |
| Governance & Integrity | 12.07 | 12.12 | +0.047 | 9 |
| Financial Strength | 13.29 | 13.32 | +0.026 | 9 |
| Production & Innovation | 11.90 | 11.84 | −0.057 | 6 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.01 | 11.95 | −0.060 | 7 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2032: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 410, plus 244 carried in. Maintenance 311. Spent 61 on actions (build 12, buy 37, partner 12). 281 carried over.
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance12 credits for 0.44 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
- BuyArtificial Intelligence12 credits for 1.30 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies12 credits for 1.27 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildDigital & AI Competence12 credits for 0.94 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance12 credits for 1.13 levelsmcts_fill
- Upside event: Chronic disease advance S19. +15.4 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Human Capital Tier 3 to 2; Information & Influence Tier 5 to 6.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies | +1.24 | +1.27 | 0.00 | −0.03 | 0.00 |
| Artificial Intelligence | +1.15 | +1.30 | 0.00 | −0.15 | 0.00 |
| Digital & AI Competence | +1.08 | +1.13 | 0.00 | −0.04 | 0.00 |
| Development Cooperation & Global Assistance | +1.07 | +1.13 | 0.00 | −0.07 | +0.01 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +1.03 | +0.95 | 0.00 | +0.08 | 0.00 |
| Lifelong Learning & Reskilling | +0.74 | +0.78 | 0.00 | −0.04 | 0.00 |