Round 2033
Round 7 of 20 in simulation 4 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.122 to 12.04.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2033 (the end of 2032) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.04 (+0.123)
- In: 11.91
- Rank by index
- 29
- In: 30
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 371
- In: 267
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 9.00 | 9.07 | +0.066 | 6 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.90 | 13.96 | +0.057 | 3 |
| National Security | 9.43 | 9.44 | +0.006 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 13.68 | 14.09 | +0.408 | 2 |
| Information & Influence | 11.99 | 12.12 | +0.133 | 6 → 5 |
| Governance & Integrity | 12.12 | 12.19 | +0.072 | 9 |
| Financial Strength | 13.32 | 13.46 | +0.140 | 9 → 8 |
| Production & Innovation | 11.84 | 12.03 | +0.194 | 6 |
| Trade & Investment | 11.95 | 11.97 | +0.026 | 7 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2033: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 480, plus 267 carried in. Maintenance 315. Spent 62 on actions (build 12, buy 25, partner 25). 371 carried over.
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance12 credits for 0.43 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
- PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation12 credits for 1.26 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation12 credits for 0.65 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion12 credits for 1.10 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildFoundational Education12 credits for 0.74 levelsmcts_fill
Earlier events still landing: +3.1 points this round.
Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 6 to 5; Financial Strength Tier 9 to 8.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Technology Adoption & Diffusion | +1.14 | +1.10 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.02 |
| Digital & AI Competence | +0.94 | +0.88 | 0.00 | +0.06 | 0.00 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +0.76 | +0.70 | 0.00 | +0.06 | 0.00 |
| Research Talent & Knowledge Creation | +0.71 | +0.65 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.01 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.66 | +0.63 | 0.00 | +0.03 | 0.00 |
| Lifelong Learning & Reskilling | +0.57 | +0.51 | 0.00 | +0.06 | 0.00 |