Round 8 · simulation 4 · mcts-m2b.m2b-bra-mcts-index

Round 2034

Round 8 of 20 in simulation 4 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.132 to 12.17.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2034 (the end of 2033) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.17 (+0.131)
In: 12.04
Rank by index
28
In: 29
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
447
In: 353
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology9.079.41+0.3406
Strategic Infrastructure13.9614.02+0.0563
National Security9.449.44+0.0055
Human Capital14.0914.35+0.2542
Information & Influence12.1212.26+0.1375
Governance & Integrity12.1912.26+0.0739
Financial Strength13.4613.61+0.1498
Production & Innovation12.0312.08+0.0436
Trade & Investment11.9712.10+0.1287

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2034: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 487, plus 353 carried in. Maintenance 321. Spent 72 on actions (build 14, buy 29, partner 29). 447 carried over.

  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance14 credits for 0.48 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence14 credits for 1.39 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildAdvanced Education14 credits for 0.87 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing14 credits for 1.27 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access14 credits for 1.37 levelsmcts_fill

Earlier events still landing: +3.1 points this round.

The groups that moved most in 2034, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Artificial Intelligence+1.45+1.390.00+0.06+0.01
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+1.32+1.270.00+0.060.00
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.71+0.690.00+0.03−0.01
Digital & AI Competence+0.70+0.640.00+0.060.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.65+0.630.00+0.030.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.57+0.450.00+0.110.00