Round 2035
Round 9 of 20 in simulation 4 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.115 to 12.28.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2035 (the end of 2034) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.28 (+0.115)
- In: 12.17
- Rank by index
- 27
- In: 28
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 515
- In: 424
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 9.41 | 9.62 | +0.215 | 6 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 14.02 | 14.08 | +0.059 | 3 |
| National Security | 9.44 | 9.45 | +0.012 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 14.35 | 14.56 | +0.217 | 2 → 1 |
| Information & Influence | 12.26 | 12.29 | +0.034 | 5 |
| Governance & Integrity | 12.26 | 12.34 | +0.074 | 9 |
| Financial Strength | 13.61 | 13.76 | +0.155 | 8 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.08 | 12.13 | +0.055 | 6 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.10 | 12.32 | +0.215 | 7 → 6 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2035: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 493, plus 424 carried in. Maintenance 329. Spent 73 on actions (build 29, buy 15, partner 29). 515 carried over.
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance15 credits for 0.47 levelsmctsahead of Advanced Education by 0 per cent
- BuildAdvanced Education15 credits for 0.88 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection15 credits for 1.14 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildFoundational Education15 credits for 0.85 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies15 credits for 1.36 levelsmcts_fill
Earlier events still landing: +3.1 points this round.
Tiers. Human Capital Tier 2 to 1; Trade & Investment Tier 7 to 6.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies | +1.42 | +1.36 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.01 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.71 | +0.69 | 0.00 | +0.03 | −0.01 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +0.60 | +0.57 | 0.00 | +0.03 | 0.00 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | +0.59 | +0.47 | 0.00 | +0.11 | +0.01 |
| Digital & AI Competence | +0.47 | +0.41 | 0.00 | +0.06 | 0.00 |
| Advanced Education | +0.42 | +0.35 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.01 |