Round 2036
Round 10 of 20 in simulation 4 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.125 to 12.41.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2036 (the end of 2035) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.41 (+0.125)
- In: 12.28
- Rank by index
- 25
- In: 27
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 581
- In: 490
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 9.62 | 9.73 | +0.104 | 6 → 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 14.08 | 14.14 | +0.068 | 3 |
| National Security | 9.45 | 9.47 | +0.017 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 14.56 | 14.75 | +0.190 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 12.29 | 12.33 | +0.036 | 5 |
| Governance & Integrity | 12.34 | 12.41 | +0.075 | 9 |
| Financial Strength | 13.76 | 13.91 | +0.153 | 8 → 7 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.13 | 12.31 | +0.180 | 6 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.32 | 12.62 | +0.302 | 6 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2036: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 501, plus 490 carried in. Maintenance 336. Spent 74 on actions (build 15, buy 15, partner 44). 581 carried over.
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance15 credits for 0.45 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
- BuildAdvanced Education15 credits for 0.87 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position15 credits for 1.22 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication15 credits for 1.22 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyEconomic Output & Productivity15 credits for 0.84 levelsmcts_fill
Earlier events still landing: +3.1 points this round.
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 6 to 5; Financial Strength Tier 8 to 7.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Economic Output & Productivity | +0.89 | +0.84 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.02 |
| Global Value Chain Position | +0.65 | +0.61 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.02 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.64 | +0.61 | 0.00 | +0.03 | 0.00 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +0.60 | +0.57 | 0.00 | +0.03 | 0.00 |
| Advanced Education | +0.60 | +0.52 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.02 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | +0.58 | +0.46 | 0.00 | +0.11 | +0.01 |