Round 11 · simulation 4 · mcts-m2b.m2b-bra-mcts-index

Round 2037

Round 11 of 20 in simulation 4 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.113 to 12.52.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2037 (the end of 2036) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.52 (+0.113)
In: 12.41
Rank by index
25
In: 25
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
621
In: 552
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology9.739.88+0.1495
Strategic Infrastructure14.1414.19+0.0433
National Security9.479.49+0.0235
Human Capital14.7514.91+0.1551
Information & Influence12.3312.66+0.3365
Governance & Integrity12.4112.42+0.0069
Financial Strength13.9113.98+0.0667 → 5
Production & Innovation12.3112.35+0.0436
Trade & Investment12.6212.81+0.1956

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2037: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 486, plus 552 carried in. Maintenance 342. Spent 75 on actions (build 15, buy 30, partner 30). 621 carried over.

  • PartnerResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation15 credits for 0.74 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation15 credits for 1.39 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance15 credits for 1.27 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildAdvanced Education15 credits for 0.86 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing15 credits for 1.19 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 7 to 5.

The groups that moved most in 2037, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+1.30+1.270.000.00+0.03
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+1.19+1.190.000.00+0.01
Advanced Education+0.72+0.700.000.00+0.03
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.69+0.690.000.000.00
Global Value Chain Position+0.62+0.610.000.00+0.01
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.62+0.610.000.00+0.01