Round 2038
Round 12 of 20 in simulation 4 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.113 to 12.63.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2038 (the end of 2037) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.63 (+0.113)
- In: 12.52
- Rank by index
- 24
- In: 25
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 658
- In: 590
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 9.88 | 10.02 | +0.142 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 14.19 | 14.24 | +0.051 | 3 |
| National Security | 9.49 | 9.52 | +0.022 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 14.91 | 15.13 | +0.222 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 12.66 | 12.80 | +0.138 | 5 → 4 |
| Governance & Integrity | 12.42 | 12.42 | +0.005 | 9 |
| Financial Strength | 13.98 | 14.00 | +0.017 | 5 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.35 | 12.67 | +0.318 | 6 → 4 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.81 | 12.91 | +0.100 | 6 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2038: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 489, plus 590 carried in. Maintenance 348. Spent 73 on actions (buy 58, partner 15). 658 carried over.
- BuyEconomic Output & Productivity15 credits for 0.77 levelsmcts
- BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion15 credits for 1.17 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics15 credits for 1.16 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation15 credits for 0.70 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyArtificial Intelligence15 credits for 1.22 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 5 to 4; Production & Innovation Tier 6 to 4.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence | +1.27 | +1.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 |
| Technology Adoption & Diffusion | +1.26 | +1.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.09 |
| Research Talent & Knowledge Creation | +0.97 | +0.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +0.79 | +0.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 |
| Advanced Education | +0.73 | +0.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.70 | +0.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |