Round 13 · simulation 4 · mcts-m2b.m2b-bra-mcts-index

Round 2039

Round 13 of 20 in simulation 4 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.096 to 12.73.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2039 (the end of 2038) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.73 (+0.096)
In: 12.63
Rank by index
24
In: 24
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
692
In: 625
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology10.0210.17+0.1535
Strategic Infrastructure14.2414.29+0.0473
National Security9.529.54+0.0235
Human Capital15.1315.26+0.1281
Information & Influence12.8012.81+0.0124
Governance & Integrity12.4212.43+0.0059
Financial Strength14.0014.02+0.0175
Production & Innovation12.6712.71+0.0374
Trade & Investment12.9113.36+0.4416 → 5

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2039: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 494, plus 625 carried in. Maintenance 354. Spent 73 on actions (buy 15, partner 59). 692 carried over.

  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access15 credits for 1.26 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Trade Policy & Market Access by 0 per cent
  • PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence15 credits for 1.22 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 1 per cent
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection15 credits for 1.05 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies by 1 per cent
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies15 credits for 1.22 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Trade Facilitation & Logistics by 1 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics15 credits for 1.12 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Foundational Education by 0 per cent

Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 6 to 5.

The groups that moved most in 2039, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+1.23+1.220.000.00+0.01
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+1.15+1.140.000.00+0.01
Economic Leverage & Dependence+0.69+0.610.000.00+0.08
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.64+0.630.000.00+0.01
Advanced Education+0.56+0.520.000.00+0.04
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.55+0.530.000.00+0.02