Round 2040
Round 14 of 20 in simulation 4 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.115 to 12.85.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2040 (the end of 2039) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.85 (+0.115)
- In: 12.73
- Rank by index
- 22
- In: 24
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 719
- In: 657
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 10.17 | 10.31 | +0.135 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 14.29 | 14.32 | +0.039 | 3 |
| National Security | 9.54 | 9.56 | +0.019 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 15.26 | 15.32 | +0.065 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 12.81 | 12.94 | +0.127 | 4 |
| Governance & Integrity | 12.43 | 12.43 | +0.006 | 9 |
| Financial Strength | 14.02 | 14.02 | +0.007 | 5 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.71 | 12.75 | +0.039 | 4 |
| Trade & Investment | 13.36 | 13.96 | +0.602 | 5 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2040: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 496, plus 657 carried in. Maintenance 360. Spent 74 on actions (buy 15, partner 59). 719 carried over.
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing15 credits for 1.07 levelsmctsahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 0 per cent
- PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation15 credits for 1.25 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication15 credits for 1.12 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position15 credits for 1.12 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerDigital & Services Trade15 credits for 1.20 levelsmcts_fill
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +1.07 | +1.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.65 | +0.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 |
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | +0.64 | +0.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 |
| Digital & Services Trade | +0.63 | +0.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.63 | +0.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Global Value Chain Position | +0.61 | +0.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 |