Round 2029
Round 3 of 20 in simulation 5 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Middle East settlement, and the index +0.074 to 6.63.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2029 (the end of 2028) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 6.63 (+0.074)
- In: 6.56
- Rank by index
- 89
- In: 90
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 40
- In: 25
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 2.82 | 2.82 | +0.005 | 12 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 7.05 | 7.12 | +0.069 | 8 |
| National Security | 4.37 | 4.43 | +0.058 | 9 |
| Human Capital | 7.22 | 7.35 | +0.128 | 13 |
| Information & Influence | 7.44 | 7.61 | +0.167 | 10 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.38 | 8.44 | +0.067 | 16 → 15 |
| Financial Strength | 7.56 | 7.58 | +0.015 | 21 |
| Production & Innovation | 6.91 | 7.07 | +0.162 | 15 |
| Trade & Investment | 7.29 | 7.29 | −0.008 | 13 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2029: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 148, plus 25 carried in. Maintenance 109. Spent 24 on actions (build 10, buy 15). 40 carried over.
- BuyEconomic Output & Productivity5 credits for 0.39 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
- BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills5 credits for 0.60 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion5 credits for 0.64 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance5 credits for 0.62 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling5 credits for 0.58 levelsmcts_fill
- Upside event: Middle East settlement S14. +9.1 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Governance & Integrity Tier 16 to 15.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Technology Adoption & Diffusion | +0.67 | +0.64 | 0.00 | +0.03 | 0.00 |
| Development Cooperation & Global Assistance | +0.64 | +0.62 | 0.00 | +0.05 | −0.03 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +0.41 | +0.39 | 0.00 | +0.03 | 0.00 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +0.39 | +0.36 | 0.00 | +0.03 | 0.00 |
| Lifelong Learning & Reskilling | +0.38 | +0.35 | 0.00 | +0.03 | 0.00 |
| Digital & AI Competence | +0.23 | +0.20 | 0.00 | +0.03 | 0.00 |