Round 2030
Round 4 of 20 in simulation 5 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.068 to 6.70.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2030 (the end of 2029) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 6.70 (+0.068)
- In: 6.63
- Rank by index
- 87
- In: 89
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 60
- In: 38
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 2.82 | 2.88 | +0.064 | 12 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 7.12 | 7.16 | +0.040 | 8 |
| National Security | 4.43 | 4.48 | +0.049 | 9 |
| Human Capital | 7.35 | 7.48 | +0.134 | 13 → 12 |
| Information & Influence | 7.61 | 7.66 | +0.056 | 10 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.44 | 8.51 | +0.069 | 15 |
| Financial Strength | 7.58 | 7.60 | +0.026 | 21 |
| Production & Innovation | 7.07 | 7.20 | +0.130 | 15 |
| Trade & Investment | 7.29 | 7.33 | +0.043 | 13 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2030: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 155, plus 38 carried in. Maintenance 110. Spent 22 on actions (build 4, buy 13, partner 4). 60 carried over.
- BuyEconomic Output & Productivity4 credits for 0.35 levelsmctsahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
- BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills4 credits for 0.54 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies4 credits for 0.65 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion4 credits for 0.57 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access4 credits for 0.63 levelsmcts_fill
Earlier events still landing: +3.0 points this round.
Tiers. Human Capital Tier 13 to 12.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies | +0.64 | +0.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Technology Adoption & Diffusion | +0.58 | +0.57 | 0.00 | +0.03 | −0.01 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +0.49 | +0.47 | 0.00 | +0.03 | 0.00 |
| Lifelong Learning & Reskilling | +0.38 | +0.35 | 0.00 | +0.03 | 0.00 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +0.33 | +0.35 | 0.00 | +0.03 | −0.05 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.32 | +0.32 | 0.00 | +0.03 | −0.02 |