Round 2031
Round 5 of 20 in simulation 5 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.080 to 6.78.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2031 (the end of 2030) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 6.78 (+0.080)
- In: 6.70
- Rank by index
- 85
- In: 87
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 78
- In: 57
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 2.88 | 2.95 | +0.067 | 12 → 11 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 7.16 | 7.20 | +0.038 | 8 |
| National Security | 4.48 | 4.53 | +0.049 | 9 |
| Human Capital | 7.48 | 7.62 | +0.139 | 12 |
| Information & Influence | 7.66 | 7.83 | +0.163 | 10 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.51 | 8.57 | +0.064 | 15 |
| Financial Strength | 7.60 | 7.64 | +0.033 | 21 |
| Production & Innovation | 7.20 | 7.27 | +0.070 | 15 |
| Trade & Investment | 7.33 | 7.43 | +0.102 | 13 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2031: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 157, plus 57 carried in. Maintenance 112. Spent 23 on actions (build 5, buy 14, partner 5). 78 carried over.
- BuyEconomic Output & Productivity5 credits for 0.36 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
- BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills5 credits for 0.55 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance5 credits for 0.57 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies5 credits for 0.65 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access5 credits for 0.64 levelsmcts_fill
Earlier events still landing: +3.0 points this round.
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 12 to 11.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies | +0.65 | +0.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.64 | +0.64 | 0.00 | +0.03 | −0.02 |
| Development Cooperation & Global Assistance | +0.64 | +0.57 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.01 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +0.60 | +0.58 | 0.00 | +0.03 | 0.00 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +0.39 | +0.36 | 0.00 | +0.03 | 0.00 |
| Lifelong Learning & Reskilling | +0.38 | +0.35 | 0.00 | +0.03 | 0.00 |