Round 2032
Round 6 of 20 in simulation 5 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.033 to 6.82.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2032 (the end of 2031) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 6.82 (+0.033)
- In: 6.78
- Rank by index
- 84
- In: 85
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 92
- In: 75
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 2.95 | 3.01 | +0.062 | 11 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 7.20 | 7.17 | −0.029 | 8 |
| National Security | 4.53 | 4.52 | −0.008 | 9 |
| Human Capital | 7.62 | 7.70 | +0.083 | 12 |
| Information & Influence | 7.83 | 7.88 | +0.056 | 10 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.57 | 8.57 | −0.006 | 15 |
| Financial Strength | 7.64 | 7.64 | +0.008 | 21 |
| Production & Innovation | 7.27 | 7.32 | +0.048 | 15 |
| Trade & Investment | 7.43 | 7.51 | +0.079 | 13 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2032: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 154, plus 75 carried in. Maintenance 114. Spent 24 on actions (build 5, buy 9, partner 9). 92 carried over.
- BuyEconomic Output & Productivity5 credits for 0.35 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
- BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills5 credits for 0.53 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication5 credits for 0.57 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation5 credits for 0.68 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyArtificial Intelligence5 credits for 0.66 levelsmcts_fill
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence | +0.65 | +0.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +0.56 | +0.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +0.37 | +0.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.32 | +0.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.02 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.30 | +0.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.02 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.28 | +0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |