Round 2033
Round 7 of 20 in simulation 5 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.038 to 6.85.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2033 (the end of 2032) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 6.85 (+0.038)
- In: 6.82
- Rank by index
- 83
- In: 84
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 106
- In: 87
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 3.01 | 3.01 | −0.003 | 11 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 7.17 | 7.14 | −0.028 | 8 |
| National Security | 4.52 | 4.52 | −0.004 | 9 |
| Human Capital | 7.70 | 7.76 | +0.058 | 12 |
| Information & Influence | 7.88 | 8.00 | +0.115 | 10 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.57 | 8.56 | −0.004 | 15 |
| Financial Strength | 7.64 | 7.66 | +0.011 | 21 |
| Production & Innovation | 7.32 | 7.45 | +0.130 | 15 |
| Trade & Investment | 7.51 | 7.58 | +0.074 | 13 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2033: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 156, plus 87 carried in. Maintenance 114. Spent 23 on actions (build 5, buy 9, partner 9). 106 carried over.
- BuyEconomic Output & Productivity5 credits for 0.34 levelsmctsahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
- BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills5 credits for 0.51 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion5 credits for 0.57 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication5 credits for 0.55 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation5 credits for 0.65 levelsmcts_fill
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.65 | +0.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.02 |
| Technology Adoption & Diffusion | +0.57 | +0.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.56 | +0.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +0.54 | +0.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +0.35 | +0.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Lifelong Learning & Reskilling | +0.11 | +0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |