Round 8 · simulation 5 · mcts-m2b.m2b-ken-mcts-index

Round 2034

Round 8 of 20 in simulation 5 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.049 to 6.90.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2034 (the end of 2033) and as it left it.

Capability index
6.90 (+0.050)
In: 6.85
Rank by index
83
In: 83
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
120
In: 100
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.013.14+0.12711 → 10
Strategic Infrastructure7.147.14+0.0048
National Security4.524.53+0.0079
Human Capital7.767.81+0.04612
Information & Influence8.008.15+0.15310 → 8
Governance & Integrity8.568.56−0.00515
Financial Strength7.667.67+0.01321
Production & Innovation7.457.51+0.05815
Trade & Investment7.587.63+0.04013

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2034: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 158, plus 100 carried in. Maintenance 115. Spent 23 on actions (build 5, buy 19). 120 carried over.

  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity5 credits for 0.34 levelsmctsahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies5 credits for 0.63 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence5 credits for 0.64 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance5 credits for 0.56 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills5 credits for 0.49 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 11 to 10; Information & Influence Tier 10 to 8.

The groups that moved most in 2034, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Artificial Intelligence+0.63+0.640.000.000.00
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+0.63+0.630.000.000.00
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+0.58+0.560.000.00+0.02
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.52+0.520.000.00−0.01
Economic Output & Productivity+0.34+0.340.000.000.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.32+0.330.000.00−0.01