Round 2035
Round 9 of 20 in simulation 5 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.040 to 6.94.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2035 (the end of 2034) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 6.94 (+0.039)
- In: 6.90
- Rank by index
- 82
- In: 83
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 133
- In: 114
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 3.14 | 3.25 | +0.113 | 10 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 7.14 | 7.15 | +0.004 | 8 |
| National Security | 4.53 | 4.53 | +0.007 | 9 |
| Human Capital | 7.81 | 7.84 | +0.035 | 12 → 11 |
| Information & Influence | 8.15 | 8.16 | +0.014 | 8 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.56 | 8.56 | −0.004 | 15 |
| Financial Strength | 7.67 | 7.68 | +0.011 | 21 |
| Production & Innovation | 7.51 | 7.64 | +0.138 | 15 → 13 |
| Trade & Investment | 7.63 | 7.67 | +0.041 | 13 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2035: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 159, plus 114 carried in. Maintenance 116. Spent 24 on actions (buy 19, partner 5). 133 carried over.
- BuyEconomic Output & Productivity5 credits for 0.33 levelsmctsahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing5 credits for 0.52 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection5 credits for 0.54 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion5 credits for 0.56 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies5 credits for 0.61 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Human Capital Tier 12 to 11; Production & Innovation Tier 15 to 13.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies | +0.61 | +0.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Technology Adoption & Diffusion | +0.57 | +0.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +0.52 | +0.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +0.41 | +0.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +0.35 | +0.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +0.28 | +0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |