Round 10 · simulation 5 · mcts-m2b.m2b-ken-mcts-index

Round 2036

Round 10 of 20 in simulation 5 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.038 to 6.98.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2036 (the end of 2035) and as it left it.

Capability index
6.98 (+0.039)
In: 6.94
Rank by index
81
In: 82
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
146
In: 126
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.253.37+0.11610
Strategic Infrastructure7.157.15+0.0038
National Security4.534.54+0.0069
Human Capital7.847.87+0.02211
Information & Influence8.168.18+0.0138
Governance & Integrity8.568.55−0.00415
Financial Strength7.687.69+0.01021
Production & Innovation7.647.70+0.05613
Trade & Investment7.677.79+0.12313

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2036: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 162, plus 126 carried in. Maintenance 118. Spent 24 on actions (buy 14, partner 10). 146 carried over.

  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity5 credits for 0.33 levelsmctsahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing5 credits for 0.52 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence5 credits for 0.62 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access5 credits for 0.63 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection5 credits for 0.53 levelsmcts_fill
The groups that moved most in 2036, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Artificial Intelligence+0.62+0.620.000.000.00
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.55+0.540.000.00+0.01
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.52+0.520.000.000.00
Economic Output & Productivity+0.33+0.330.000.00+0.01
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.31+0.310.000.000.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.30+0.310.000.00−0.01