Round 2037
Round 11 of 20 in simulation 5 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.043 to 7.02.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2037 (the end of 2036) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 7.02 (+0.043)
- In: 6.98
- Rank by index
- 80
- In: 81
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 160
- In: 139
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 3.37 | 3.42 | +0.058 | 10 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 7.15 | 7.15 | +0.004 | 8 |
| National Security | 4.54 | 4.54 | +0.005 | 9 |
| Human Capital | 7.87 | 7.88 | +0.018 | 11 |
| Information & Influence | 8.18 | 8.24 | +0.067 | 8 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.55 | 8.55 | −0.004 | 15 |
| Financial Strength | 7.69 | 7.70 | +0.008 | 21 |
| Production & Innovation | 7.70 | 7.75 | +0.055 | 13 → 12 |
| Trade & Investment | 7.79 | 7.96 | +0.176 | 13 → 12 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2037: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 164, plus 139 carried in. Maintenance 119. Spent 24 on actions (buy 10, partner 15). 160 carried over.
- BuyEconomic Output & Productivity5 credits for 0.33 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing5 credits for 0.52 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation5 credits for 0.64 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication5 credits for 0.56 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access5 credits for 0.62 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Production & Innovation Tier 13 to 12; Trade & Investment Tier 13 to 12.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.62 | +0.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +0.52 | +0.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +0.35 | +0.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.33 | +0.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.28 | +0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +0.28 | +0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |