Round 2038
Round 12 of 20 in simulation 5 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.056 to 7.08.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2038 (the end of 2037) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 7.08 (+0.056)
- In: 7.02
- Rank by index
- 80
- In: 80
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 173
- In: 152
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 3.42 | 3.61 | +0.186 | 10 → 9 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 7.15 | 7.16 | +0.006 | 8 |
| National Security | 4.54 | 4.55 | +0.008 | 9 |
| Human Capital | 7.88 | 7.89 | +0.007 | 11 |
| Information & Influence | 8.24 | 8.40 | +0.161 | 8 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.55 | 8.54 | −0.004 | 15 |
| Financial Strength | 7.70 | 7.73 | +0.034 | 21 |
| Production & Innovation | 7.75 | 7.77 | +0.011 | 12 |
| Trade & Investment | 7.96 | 8.06 | +0.097 | 12 → 11 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2038: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 166, plus 152 carried in. Maintenance 120. Spent 25 on actions (buy 20, partner 5). 173 carried over.
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance5 credits for 0.29 levelsmctsahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing5 credits for 0.52 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyArtificial Intelligence5 credits for 0.61 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies5 credits for 0.61 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance5 credits for 0.57 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 10 to 9; Trade & Investment Tier 12 to 11.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence | +0.71 | +0.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 |
| Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies | +0.61 | +0.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Development Cooperation & Global Assistance | +0.59 | +0.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 |
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +0.52 | +0.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.33 | +0.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.31 | +0.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |