Round 13 · simulation 5 · mcts-m2b.m2b-ken-mcts-index

Round 2039

Round 13 of 20 in simulation 5 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.043 to 7.12.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2039 (the end of 2038) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.12 (+0.043)
In: 7.08
Rank by index
80
In: 80
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
184
In: 164
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.613.73+0.1249
Strategic Infrastructure7.167.17+0.0098
National Security4.554.56+0.0099
Human Capital7.897.93+0.04511
Information & Influence8.408.42+0.0148
Governance & Integrity8.548.55+0.00315
Financial Strength7.737.76+0.03121
Production & Innovation7.777.90+0.13712
Trade & Investment8.068.08+0.01411

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2039: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 167, plus 164 carried in. Maintenance 122. Spent 25 on actions (buy 25). 184 carried over.

  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity5 credits for 0.33 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing5 credits for 0.51 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion5 credits for 0.57 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation5 credits for 0.40 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing5 credits for 0.60 levelsmcts_fill
The groups that moved most in 2039, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Advanced Materials & Manufacturing+0.60+0.600.000.000.00
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+0.58+0.570.000.00+0.01
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.51+0.510.000.000.00
Research Talent & Knowledge Creation+0.40+0.400.000.000.00
Economic Output & Productivity+0.33+0.330.000.000.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.16+0.140.000.00+0.01