Round 2040
Round 14 of 20 in simulation 5 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.033 to 7.16.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2040 (the end of 2039) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 7.16 (+0.033)
- In: 7.12
- Rank by index
- 80
- In: 80
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 195
- In: 175
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 3.73 | 3.86 | +0.125 | 9 → 8 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 7.17 | 7.18 | +0.010 | 8 |
| National Security | 4.56 | 4.57 | +0.006 | 9 |
| Human Capital | 7.93 | 7.95 | +0.011 | 11 |
| Information & Influence | 8.42 | 8.48 | +0.065 | 8 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.55 | 8.55 | +0.001 | 15 |
| Financial Strength | 7.76 | 7.77 | +0.010 | 21 |
| Production & Innovation | 7.90 | 7.96 | +0.056 | 12 |
| Trade & Investment | 8.08 | 8.09 | +0.014 | 11 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2040: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 169, plus 175 carried in. Maintenance 124. Spent 25 on actions (build 5, buy 15, partner 5). 195 carried over.
- BuyEconomic Output & Productivity5 credits for 0.32 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing5 credits for 0.50 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation5 credits for 0.64 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies5 credits for 0.60 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildDigital & AI Competence5 credits for 0.51 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 9 to 8.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies | +0.60 | +0.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +0.50 | +0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.32 | +0.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +0.32 | +0.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Artificial Intelligence | +0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.11 |
| Digital & AI Competence | +0.10 | +0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |