Round 2042
Round 16 of 20 in simulation 5 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.048 to 7.25.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2042 (the end of 2041) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 7.25 (+0.048)
- In: 7.20
- Rank by index
- 78
- In: 79
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 215
- In: 195
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 4.04 | 4.22 | +0.182 | 8 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 7.19 | 7.20 | +0.009 | 8 |
| National Security | 4.57 | 4.58 | +0.007 | 9 |
| Human Capital | 7.96 | 7.97 | +0.012 | 11 |
| Information & Influence | 8.55 | 8.65 | +0.106 | 8 → 7 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.55 | 8.55 | 0.000 | 15 |
| Financial Strength | 7.78 | 7.79 | +0.011 | 21 |
| Production & Innovation | 8.02 | 8.07 | +0.054 | 11 |
| Trade & Investment | 8.14 | 8.20 | +0.053 | 11 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2042: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 172, plus 195 carried in. Maintenance 127. Spent 26 on actions (buy 26). 215 carried over.
- BuyEconomic Output & Productivity5 credits for 0.31 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing5 credits for 0.49 levelsmcts_fill
- BuySensing, Timing & Navigation5 credits for 0.63 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing5 credits for 0.59 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance5 credits for 0.57 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 8 to 7.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sensing, Timing & Navigation | +0.63 | +0.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Development Cooperation & Global Assistance | +0.59 | +0.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 |
| Advanced Materials & Manufacturing | +0.59 | +0.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +0.49 | +0.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +0.32 | +0.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.28 | +0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |