Round 24 · simulation 4 · cycle-002.e4-bra

Round 2020

Round 24 of 30 in simulation 4 of Brazil, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Severe pandemic, and the index −0.508 to 11.60.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2020 (the end of 2019) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.60 (−0.508)
In: 12.11
Rank by index
31
In: 28
Domains at Tier 1
2
In: 3
Credits carried
44
In: 39
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology9.679.01−0.6654
Strategic Infrastructure15.0614.81−0.2451 → 2
National Security9.278.95−0.3295
Human Capital14.4714.10−0.3691
Information & Influence12.4111.73−0.6801
Governance & Integrity11.1310.77−0.3617
Financial Strength12.8912.25−0.6425 → 6
Production & Innovation12.6912.12−0.5643
Trade & Investment11.4010.69−0.7159

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2020: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 387, plus 39 carried in. Maintenance 344. Spent 39 on actions (partner 39). 44 carried over.

  • PartnerAgriculture & Food Infrastructure8 credits for 0.27 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerCommunications & Digital Infrastructure8 credits for 0.21 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerDigital & AI Competence8 credits for 0.52 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerTechnology Adoption & Diffusion8 credits for 0.54 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics8 credits for 0.65 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Severe pandemic S10. −39.0 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 1 to 2; Financial Strength Tier 5 to 6.

The groups that moved most in 2020, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Information Environment & Strategic Communication−1.200.000.00−1.200.00
Biotechnology & Health Technologies−1.170.000.00−1.170.00
Labour & Employment−0.93+0.170.00−1.16+0.05
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−0.93+0.080.00−1.010.00
Health System Capability−0.800.000.00−0.800.00
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−0.78+0.660.00−1.440.00