Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

Experiments

199 experiments, 7,913 simulations

Invariants holding: 100.0% - 65/65
Simulations gaining on the index: 55.5% - 4,393/7,913
Simulations struck by a shock: 94.4% - 7,471/7,913
Experiments against history: 50.3% - 100/199

199 experiments, 7,913 simulations

South Korea
Scripted · from 1996
4 historical events · 30 years
13.13 → 12.72−0.40
30 simulations · cycle-003.e4-kor
Estonia
Scripted · from 1996
7 historical events · 30 years
10.47 → 10.01−0.46
30 simulations · cycle-003.e4-est
Singapore
Scripted · from 1996
5 historical events · 30 years
15.25 → 15.24−0.01
30 simulations · cycle-003.e4-sgp
Ireland
Scripted · from 1996
4 historical events · 30 years
11.93 → 11.84−0.09
30 simulations · cycle-003.e4-irl
United Arab Emirates
Scripted · from 1996
5 historical events · 30 years
9.78 → 9.76−0.02
30 simulations · cycle-003.e4-are
Chile
Scripted · from 1996
6 historical events · 30 years
10.29 → 9.72−0.57
30 simulations · cycle-003.e4-chl
Poland
Scripted · from 1996
6 historical events · 30 years
9.92 → 9.79−0.13
30 simulations · cycle-003.e4-pol
China
Scripted · from 1996
9 historical events · 30 years
9.13 → 6.93−2.20
30 simulations · cycle-003.e4-chn
India
Scripted · from 1996
12 historical events · 30 years
8.92 → 7.33−1.59
30 simulations · cycle-003.e4-ind
Vietnam
Scripted · from 1996
7 historical events · 30 years
7.67 → 8.03+0.36
30 simulations · cycle-003.e4-vnm
Taiwan
Scripted · from 1996
8 historical events · 30 years
14.85 → 14.71−0.14
30 simulations · cycle-003.e4-twn
Israel
Scripted · from 1996
7 historical events · 30 years
15.14 → 15.80+0.66
30 simulations · cycle-003.e4-isr
Finland
Scripted · from 1996
6 historical events · 30 years
15.66 → 15.48−0.18
30 simulations · cycle-003.e4-fin
Malaysia
Scripted · from 1996
5 historical events · 30 years
12.22 → 12.10−0.13
30 simulations · cycle-003.e4-mys
Indonesia
Scripted · from 1996
6 historical events · 30 years
8.28 → 7.29−0.98
30 simulations · cycle-003.e4-idn
Brazil
Scripted · from 1996
4 historical events · 30 years
11.43 → 11.55+0.13
30 simulations · cycle-003.e4-bra
Mexico
Scripted · from 1996
7 historical events · 30 years
9.67 → 8.59−1.07
30 simulations · cycle-003.e4-mex
Türkiye
Scripted · from 1996
9 historical events · 30 years
10.83 → 8.23−2.60
30 simulations · cycle-003.e4-tur
Russia
Scripted · from 1996
9 historical events · 30 years
11.19 → 11.32+0.14
30 simulations · cycle-003.e4-rus
South Africa
Scripted · from 1996
6 historical events · 30 years
11.66 → 11.80+0.15
30 simulations · cycle-003.e4-zaf
Nigeria
Scripted · from 1996
6 historical events · 30 years
7.51 → 7.87+0.36
30 simulations · cycle-003.e4-nga
Kenya
Scripted · from 1996
9 historical events · 30 years
7.31 → 5.61−1.71
30 simulations · cycle-003.e4-ken
Ethiopia
Scripted · from 1996
9 historical events · 30 years
5.96 → 4.31−1.65
30 simulations · cycle-003.e4-eth
Rwanda
Scripted · from 1996
5 historical events · 30 years
5.13 → 4.54−0.59
30 simulations · cycle-003.e4-rwa
Bangladesh
Scripted · from 1996
6 historical events · 30 years
6.47 → 5.38−1.09
30 simulations · cycle-003.e4-bgd
Philippines
Scripted · from 1996
7 historical events · 30 years
9.40 → 8.17−1.23
30 simulations · cycle-003.e4-phl
Thailand
Scripted · from 1996
6 historical events · 30 years
10.39 → 9.89−0.50
30 simulations · cycle-003.e4-tha
Saudi Arabia
Scripted · from 1996
10 historical events · 30 years
11.02 → 11.18+0.15
30 simulations · cycle-003.e4-sau
Qatar
Scripted · from 1996
5 historical events · 30 years
9.65 → 9.63−0.02
30 simulations · cycle-003.e4-qat
Egypt
Scripted · from 1996
8 historical events · 30 years
10.81 → 10.06−0.74
30 simulations · cycle-003.e4-egy
Argentina
Scripted · from 1996
8 historical events · 30 years
10.76 → 9.72−1.04
30 simulations · cycle-003.e4-arg
Venezuela
Scripted · from 1996
7 historical events · 30 years
10.19 → 8.38−1.80
30 simulations · cycle-003.e4-ven
Colombia
Scripted · from 1996
6 historical events · 30 years
9.85 → 8.99−0.86
30 simulations · cycle-003.e4-col
Peru
Scripted · from 1996
10 historical events · 30 years
8.94 → 7.17−1.78
30 simulations · cycle-003.e4-per
Japan
Scripted · from 1996
5 historical events · 30 years
16.49 → 17.05+0.56
30 simulations · cycle-003.e4-jpn
Germany
Scripted · from 1996
4 historical events · 30 years
16.98 → 17.51+0.53
30 simulations · cycle-003.e4-deu
United Kingdom
Scripted · from 1996
6 historical events · 30 years
17.25 → 17.52+0.27
30 simulations · cycle-003.e4-gbr
United States
Scripted · from 1996
8 historical events · 30 years
19.15 → 18.36−0.79
30 simulations · cycle-003.e4-usa
Italy
Scripted · from 1996
5 historical events · 30 years
14.51 → 13.95−0.55
30 simulations · cycle-003.e4-ita
Greece
Scripted · from 1996
4 historical events · 30 years
12.10 → 12.18+0.08
30 simulations · cycle-003.e4-grc
Czechia
Scripted · from 1996
7 historical events · 30 years
11.89 → 11.61−0.28
30 simulations · cycle-003.e4-cze
Hungary
Scripted · from 1996
4 historical events · 30 years
10.85 → 10.94+0.09
30 simulations · cycle-003.e4-hun
Lithuania
Scripted · from 1996
6 historical events · 30 years
8.78 → 8.00−0.79
30 simulations · cycle-003.e4-ltu
Ukraine
Scripted · from 1996
12 historical events · 30 years
9.65 → 6.88−2.77
30 simulations · cycle-003.e4-ukr
Kazakhstan
Scripted · from 1996
7 historical events · 30 years
7.45 → 7.11−0.33
30 simulations · cycle-003.e4-kaz
Georgia
Scripted · from 1996
11 historical events · 30 years
6.45 → 4.81−1.64
30 simulations · cycle-003.e4-geo
Norway
Scripted · from 1996
3 historical events · 30 years
16.23 → 16.71+0.48
30 simulations · cycle-003.e4-nor
Botswana
Scripted · from 1996
5 historical events · 30 years
9.60 → 9.27−0.32
30 simulations · cycle-003.e4-bwa
Zimbabwe
Scripted · from 1996
13 historical events · 30 years
7.22 → 4.51−2.71
30 simulations · cycle-003.e4-zwe
Sri Lanka
Scripted · from 1996
5 historical events · 30 years
8.11 → 7.17−0.95
30 simulations · cycle-003.e4-lka

1 to 50 of 199

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